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Context

In most OECD countries, life expectancy in old age has risen sharply over recent decades. However, these gains in life expectancy are not distributed equally. There is considerable variation in life expectancy within generations depending on gender and socio-economic status.

The increase in life expectancy has placed enormous pressure on public welfare policies, particularly on pay-as-you-go pension schemes. Consequently, most countries have introduced reforms aimed at promoting longer working lives, notably by raising the retirement age, and/or by reducing the replacement rates provided by the public pension system and increasingly encouraging private pension savings. At the same time, new policies on healthcare and care for those with reduced independence have been introduced to cope with the growing number of people requiring long-term care. Whilst these reforms are largely driven by the desire to rebalance the funding of traditional social security systems, they often overlook significant and potentially negative implications in terms of inequality, across several dimensions such as education, income, region, age and gender.

Presentation

The main objective of the research is to document how inequalities in healthy ageing have evolved from one generation to the next, and how public policies aimed at strengthening the fiscal sustainability of social protection systems have either counteracted or exacerbated these trends.

Part One: Recent trends in life expectancy and healthy ageing

The overall aim is to provide a more comprehensive and nuanced picture of recent trends in inequalities related to ageing in countries across North America and Europe.

Firstly, the researchers will document inequalities in life expectancy, healthy ageing and the need for long-term care across generations and countries. They will draw on a recent body of literature that has utilised new data to produce reliable estimates of life expectancy inequality by income level.

They will incorporate data from France and Sweden and carry out a cross-national analysis
using estimates available for Canada, England, Germany and the United States. This enables them to compare trends in mortality inequalities over time across different countries.

Mortality is, however, only one aspect of inequalities related to ageing. The researchers aim to provide further information on healthy life expectancy using EU-wide data and additional surveys in France and Sweden.

Part Two: Redistributive effects of current policies

The researchers will examine the implications of current policies from a redistributive perspective.
Their aim is to analyse pension reforms in the United Kingdom, France and Sweden to describe how these changes have affected individuals differently according to their gender and socio-economic background.

Raising the state pension age is one of the main measures used by many governments to address the pressure on public finances caused by an ageing population.

To offset the decline in the generosity of state pensions, some governments – for example in Canada and the UK – have introduced reforms designed to encourage private saving. These reforms are likely to exacerbate inequalities in retirement income levels. Researchers will examine inequalities within private pension schemes, the impact of recent reforms such as automatic enrolment in the UK, and the potential effects on income inequality in retirement.

Part Three: Inequalities in access to long-term care

Recent research has also begun to highlight the fact that care needs, and the use of formal care or care provided by carers, are largely influenced by socio-economic background. The researchers will expand this body of research by analysing the impact of reforms on inequalities in care provision in Canada and Germany. In this regard, it is essential to focus on the interaction between the pension system, informal care and long-term care facilities.

Research Team

This project is led by the pole Pensions.

Publication

This project began in June 2021 and will run for 36 months. Below is a list of the project’s key events and their details.

28 May 2024: Final conference – Paris

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> Recordings

15 November 2023: London

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May and June 2022: Stockholm

The Importance of the Income Concept for the Measurement of Inequality in Life Expectancy, by Antoine Bozio, Ander Iraizoz, Simon Rabaté and Maxime Tô. The welfare impact of introducing a universal earnings-related pension, by Lisa Laun, Marten Palme and Johannes Hagen.Differential Mortality and Redistribution in the French Pension System, by Aurel Mélard, Simon Rabaté and Maxime Tô. Increasing disability benefits: selection and labour market effects, by Peter Haan and Julie Tréguier.Ethnic disparities in pension saving, before and after automatic enrolment, by Laurence O’Brien, Jonathan Cribb and David Sturrock.

> Download the full programme

December 2022: Online meeting

Duration of widowhood by Julie Tréguier (DIW, Germany)Effect of DI Reform by Annica Gehlen (DIW, Germany)

September 2022: Venice

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March 2022: Online meeting

Märten Palme (Stockholm University, Sweden)Increasing employment and family care? A structural analysis of pension and long-term care policy reforms, by Björn Fischer (DIW Berlin, Germany) and Thorben Korfhage.

November 2021: Online meeting

‘Effect of the rise in the State pension age to 66 on employment in the UK’ by Laurence O’Brien (IFS, UK), Jonathan Cribb and Carl Emmerson.Responses to unexpected and permanent changes in pension income by Peter Haan (DIW Berlin, Germany), Sebastian Becker, Hermann Buslei and Johannes Geyer.

June 2021: Kick-off meeting

Method and Data

This project is based on an analysis of data and reforms in five countries in North America, Northern Europe and Western Europe: Canada, France, Germany, Sweden and the United Kingdom. These countries have been carefully selected to facilitate a comparison of very different contexts in terms of the labour market, pension systems and public solidarity policies.

By documenting inequalities in ageing, this project aims to identify which characteristics (education, gender, place of residence, occupation, income and wealth) have an impact on these inequalities. Recent research (Case and Deaton, 2015; Chetty et al., 2016) has highlighted the importance of examining the various factors underlying these ageing-related inequalities in order to shed light on the possible mechanisms by which they arise.

It is now possible to answer these questions thanks to recent access to new waves of comprehensive and accurate data, notably administrative data, following high-quality household surveys. This project will draw heavily on these data, which have so far rarely been used in cross-country comparisons. Three types of data sources will be utilised in particular.

Firstly, administrative data (social security or tax data) containing detailed information on income and linked to death register data have been essential for obtaining new findings on trends in mortality inequalities. Secondly, ageing surveys (SHARE, ELSA) are now linked to numerous administrative sources and provide sufficient cohorts to estimate intergenerational changes across a number of dimensions. Finally, new surveys or census data focusing on long-term care (for example, CARE in France or Microcensus in Germany) can offer new insights into how recent changes in care needs may affect older people in different ways.

Partners

Agence nationale de la recherche (ANR)JPI More years better lives

The project is supported by funding under the JPI MYBL from the following national funding bodies: ANR, DfG, ESRC, FORTE, CIHR

Consortium members (to be completed)

Last modified: July 20, 2026